Whitney Tilson’s e mail to buyers claiming he doesn’t hold any positions in stocks he writes about and discusses Tesla’s Model Y reveal as a total bust; JetBlue; Brexit; Life Boat play; school cheating scandal.
1) You could not agree with the bullish or bearish views I categorical on certain stocks, but one factor you must know is that I’m not talking my e-book – because in my new place as a publication author, I’m not allowed to have positions in any of the shares I write about.
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This fall hedge fund letters, convention, scoops and so forth
This prevents conflicts of curiosity, as there’s by no means any query about whether or not I’m putting my buyers or my subscribers first. I additionally assume it’ll assist me give better recommendation, as I can inform you from almost 20 years of experience that having a monetary stake in a stock can create all types of emotional biases.
2) I was hoping to have an e mail that was Tesla-free, however with the Model Y reveal last night time, no cube – perhaps next time! To summarize, my “spidey sense”is admittedly tingling now…
Glenn referred to as it a “complete bust; bears could not have even hoped for this level of pathetic-ness; the reviews are scathing.” Indeed, listed here are some of them:
- ZeroHedge: Tesla Introduces Model Y That Seems to be Suspiciously Like Model three In Underwhelming “Reveal” Occasion. Excerpt:
In what we will only describe as a bomb of a presentation, Elon Musk mumbled his means by means of Thursday’s planned Model Y reveal that started fifteen minutes late and ended with the reveal of a car that seemed suspiciously like the Model three. The Model Y, to put it flippantly, appeared to be met with a tepid reception, not simply from the gang on the event, but in addition by Musk himself, who seemed none too enthused to be introducing it.
Musk spent the primary 45 minutes of the event stumbling by way of what seemed to be unprepared remarks, briefly reviewing all the models and factories that Tesla has produced and constructed since its inception as a company. The first three quarters of the presentation seemed uneasy and melancholy to a level, with Musk talking fondly about all the work the company has finished during the last decade.
…When the time got here for the large reveal, everyone at the presentation, together with Musk himself and the gang appeared utterly underwhelmed. Musk virtually poignantly asked for the Model Y to be revealed and what rolled out onto the stage seemed suspiciously like a Model three.
…The reside “reveal” was hardly met with any applause because the confusion and disappointment from the audience within the room was palpable. Musk himself did not seem enthused by the reveal both. Twitter was additionally, skeptical, to say the least.
- When Edmunds says your new SUV “is not a true SUV,” you recognize you’re in hassle (additionally take a look at the scathing commentary).
- Here is more scathing commentary on Automotive & Driver’s web site.
- Right here’s Anton Wahlman’s take: Tesla Model Y: The Presentation’s Undertone Was Elon’s Physique Language. Excerpt:
– Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk unveiled the Model Y, which was as expected given all that had been teased just lately.
– Much more importantly, Elon seemed like he had one thing on his chest that he couldn’t say at this level, although he was tempted close to the top.
– There was no consolation on the present business of any sort, including any constructive gross sales replace on hope for a great March quarter.
– Taking a look at Elon’s body language and speech, I acquired the sense that this was a method for him to offer a biography and a legacy.
– I feel the chance that Elon can be stepping down his publish as Tesla’s CEO, simply went up.
You possibly can be a part of my Tesla e-mail record by sending a blank e-mail to [email protected]
3) I’m on a JetBlue flight to San Francisco proper now for a weekend with a dozen of my cousins, in what’s turning into an annual tradition of enjoyable and bonding.
I really like the airline’s free, high-speed “Fly-Fi” – what a distinction to the sluggish, buggy WiFi on United final week.
In 2003, a yr after JetBlue went public, I wrote five articles about it, which I’ve posted here. I didn’t spend money on the inventory then, thankfully, because it was an entire dog for greater than a decade, nevertheless it positioned me properly to take advantage when the chance arose, as you’ll be able to see in this chart:
It’s one among my favourite case studies that I train in my Classes from the Trenches: Worth Investing Bootcamp. To observe it (and rather more), can register for the video collection here.
four) Extra huge news yesterday that reinforces my view that Brexit isn’t going to happen. Don’t get faked out by the vote towards a second referendum, which is what I anticipate will finally happen – that’s simply political maneuvering. Brexit: Parliament to vote on delay, rejects a second referendum for now. Excerpt:
British lawmakers voted Thursday to seek to delay Brexit — perhaps for weeks, perhaps for months — after Prime Minister Theresa Might’s plans for leaving the European Union have been repeatedly rejected by a raucous Parliament making an attempt to wrest control from her.
…Now Britain virtually definitely won’t depart the European Union in two weeks — until E.U. leaders reject its request for an extension and it crashes out with no deal. The vote to delay Brexit handed 412 to 202.
Additionally on Thursday, lawmakers voted towards holding a second Brexit referendum, an entire do-over that would reverse the result of the historic June 2016 plebiscite.
Whereas many members of Parliament might finally back a second referendum — a highly contentious proposal marketed as a “People’s Vote” — even supporters of the move withheld help Thursday, hoping as an alternative to push the thought in tumultuous days to return.
5) My previous good friend Lloyd Khaner of Khaner Capital, who was a (little question ravenous) author in Hollywood early in his career, has just written a new play referred to as Life Boat. Based mostly on a true story, it focuses on the collision of monetary pressures and business ethics at a small company. When a risky product selection leads to the demise of a child, one individual should take duty or in 40 minutes the complete firm will go bankrupt.
Will probably be enjoying at Theatre 54 @ Shetler Studios & Theatres, 244 West 54th St., 12th Fl. for three exhibits solely, beginning every week from at present:
- Friday, March 22 at 9:00 pm
- Saturday, March 23 at eight:00 pm
- Sunday, March 24 at 4:10 pm
For extra info and to buy tickets, click right here.
PS—Here’s an image of us from 2010 at the convention I co-host in Trani, Italy every summer time (this yr it’s on July 11-12 – click on right here for more info):
6) I can’t get enough of this school dishonest scandal. How such esteemed and respected individuals might interact in such obviously scummy conduct is past me. Their reputations are eternally destroyed – and for what? Their youngsters have been all the time going to be wonderful, even if they attended a barely less elite school.
I don’t doubt that all of them love their youngsters and need the most effective for them, however I feel a main motivation for a lot of them was their very own egos: they needed to drop the names of the elite schools their youngsters attended at cocktail events and put the requisite bumper stickers on their automobiles…
It’s also pushed by a way of entitlement, which exists disproportionately amongst graduates of all prime schools, but particularly Harvard, which is wildly over-represented among those charged (see under).
I converse from expertise.
One among my favorite jokes is: How many Harvard guys does it take to screw in a lightbulb?
Answer: One – to hold the bulb while the world spins round him.
If you graduate from Harvard and/or one in every of its most prestigious graduate faculties, it’s straightforward to really feel like a master of the universe. Any job you apply for is yours. Any promotion that’s obtainable, you’ll get. It solely logically follows, subsequently, that your youngsters may even attend a prime faculty…
I don’t assume I ever suffered from entitlement, however my ego did get out of control after my first dozen years managing money. Beginning in 1999 by way of 2010, I almost tripled my buyers’ money in a flat market and have become extensively recognized – I used to be a daily on CNBC, had been featured on 60 Minutes, and so on.
This success, by itself, would have put me at excessive danger for turning into complacent and making many terrible ego-fueled errors. But when mixed with the pedigree of two Harvard levels, it really turned my brain to mush – and I paid an enormous worth.
This article in the Harvard Crimson, Six Harvard Alumni Charged in Nationwide Admissions Fraud Scandal, revealed that 5 of the six have been wealthy mother and father making huge funds, and one was on the receiving end, tampering with students’ exams. In other phrases, five of the 33 mother and father charged thus far are Harvard alumni: two who graduated from the school, two from the enterprise faculty and one from the regulation faculty.
I used to be interested to learn this as I’m a graduate of the primary two and my wife is a graduate of the latter.
Two of the 33 mother and father charged, 6.06%, are MBA graduates from HBS. That appears excessive. How excessive? I did some digging…
In response to HBS’s website, there are 46,846 dwelling MBA alumni, 67% (31,387) of whom stay in the U.S.
Let’s assume that each one HBS alumni are over age 25, so the comparability group is all People over this age, which is 67% of the U.S. population, or 224.9 million.
So, divide 31,387 by 224.9 million and we will see that HBS MBA alumni are one out of every 7,165 American adults over age 25, a microscopic proportion (1.four basis points)…
Relative to the 6.06%, HBS MBA alumni have been 434 occasions extra more likely to be caught up on this scandal than the typical American adult.
But that’s not likely a fair comparison, as this malfeasance was only out there to the uber-wealthy – the highest 1percenters.
To offer HBS every advantage of the doubt, let’s assume that each one of its alumni are within the prime 1%.
Even with this generous comparison, HBS MBA alumni have been nonetheless 4.34 occasions more more likely to be caught up in this disgrace.
Any means you narrow it, it’s a black eye for HBS…
Listed here are a couple of of my favorite articles about this scandal:
Final thought: one of the late comics stated something along the strains of: “I feel bad for the kids – this is how they learn that their parents think they’re idiots!”
PS—Comic story: in September 1990, once I was working at the Boston Consulting Group, Invoice Ackman, who was just starting HBS, invited me to hitch his school roommate, who was simply starting HLS, to crash the regulation faculty’s first-year-student-orientation booze cruise of Boston Harbor.
It turns out that my spouse grew up close to Invoice in Westchester, so she recognized him and came to visit and all of us started talking…and the remaining is historical past. I married Susan three years later and we just celebrated our 25th anniversary last October. I typically kid her that she married the improper hedgie!
Here’s what we appeared like back then: