Switch Lifecycle & Game Speculation

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Just some game speculation for Swich. I believe it was in December of this year that it was announced that the Switch had reached the halfway point of its life cycle, which coincides with Nintendo’s previous consoles. The Switch came out in March 2017, so I think we’ll have the next generation console sometime in 2024 (that’s a pretty long lifespan). This is just my speculation as to which games are and aren’t – basically the games in the first half.

2021

Verified by

  • Pokemon Snap (April)
  • Mytopia (May)
  • GTS III (May)
  • Mario Golf (June) year free support ?
  • Skyward Sword HD (July)
  • NMH3 (August)
  • Diamond and Pearl Remakes (November)

We need to see

  • SMT V (expected this year, I think, but who knows).
  • Fire Emblem port/new game (Shining Path rumored – timing makes sense for a new game).
  • Zelda BOTW 2 (possibly a festive title and it makes sense to release it at the same time as the Switch Pro if the truth about its release in 2021 is also true).
  • Bayonet 3 (where is it? 2022?)
  • Hollow Knight Silksong (where is it? 2022?)
  • Zelda HD Collection: WW/TP (rumored, but the question is where it would fit between the release of CC and BOTV 2, so it could be closer to the last part of Zelda’s 35th anniversary, in early 2022).

Maybe this year or in 2022.

  • New Kirby game (it’s been a long time since we’ve seen a good Kirby game – it couldn’t be in 3D, it took a long time, and they’re playing with 3D a bit on the Star Allies world map).
  • New Monolith game: new IP or Xeno game (big studio and time due to new game – figure we get this concept of art IP and later in life cycle or next generation new Xeno 3 – also paid DLC for every game they release)
  • 2D Metroid (no more hope, just a new game to celebrate the anniversary/slight rumors – maybe Prime Trilogy, but I see more in a 4th release).
  • Detective Pikachu 2? (I think the insanity was confirmed long ago, but we didn’t see anything).

2022

Verified by

  • Splatoon 3 (beginning 2022 – free updates for at least a year, probably until the end of 2023).
  • Pokémon Legends (early 2022 – then I hope they wait if necessary).

*They both look like they could benefit from the extra power and pro circuitry.

  • Strategy for the Triangle project

We need to see

  • Pokemon Gen 9 (based on the release schedule and assuming they don’t supplant Legends for the November slot, that would also give Gen 9 DLC a full year to release).
  • New 3D Mario (holiday name)
  • Mario Kart 9/Nintendo Kart (new versions are expected, and the release in 2022 gives time for DLC tracks before getting serious about next-gen – then both MC and 3D Mario are important, so maybe one of those two in 2023).
  • The Metroid Prime trilogy (assuming 4 comes out in 2023 – if 4 comes out in late 2022, then the trilogy could come out in early 2022, so a few months before release).
  • The new Good Feel game (pictures have been shown, it could be 2021).

2023

  • Metroid Prime 4 (could be 2022, but we haven’t seen anything yet).
  • New Fire Emblem (We’d love to have a new one, especially if the port comes in 2021).
  • NLG titles (we’ll have a new game…. Punch Out, Strikers? New IP? may be late and in 2022).
  • Mario Kart DLC (if released in MK9 2022)
  • Splatoon 3 DLC (paid, released one year after the release of Splatoon 3)
  • Remakes Pokémon Black and White (November will be November)
  • Pokemon Gen 9 DLC (if it comes out in 2022, a separate studio is making remakes now so they can do the DLC at the same time as the remake).

2024

The new console will be released sometime in 2024. Nintendo generally has a weak lineup, leading to a new console – logical controllers and ports make sense at this point, given the lower volume of development.

I don’t know what main game they will launch alongside the new console. I don’t know if 3D Mario or even less 3D Zelda can be finished in time. Pokemon should have Gen 10 in November, but a release during the holidays makes no sense because the console will be sold out at launch anyway. Better to release it early and then be ready for the holidays – maybe a date in March like the Switch. Smash could be a big title, but that seems unlikely, and Mario Kart could be too, but I don’t see that happening when MK has a new entry on Switch in 2022/2023. All I could see of 2024 was the new Animal Crossing game. We could talk about an early launch in 2025 (which would give more time to develop 3D Mario or Zelda), but that really seems too long. So, yes, a lot of thought and thanks

——————————————————————–

MUST OCCUR AT SOME POINT

  • Super Mario Party 2 (2022? we should definitely expect one but banned Switch pro fall)
  • Pikmin 4 (rumor – since the system has such a long lifespan, it makes sense to look at smaller franchises).
  • Wario Land (the rumours about Wario Land are quite fanciful)
  • Wario Ware (the Switch is perfectly built for it and given the timing, it makes sense that a title would be coming).
  • Zelda remake of Grezzo (late 2022 or 2023, the timing makes sense – we have a Zelda title practically every year).
  • New intellectual property from Grezzo (it seems they are developing a new game based on job ads).
  • Tomadachi Life 2 or port (if they ported Miitopia, it makes sense to port a fairly popular game).
  • New Mario/Port Paper (the rumors about it and the timing make sense).
  • Premium subscription to Nintendo Online (Gameboy games in addition to ? N64 games in addition to ?)

MAY HAPPEN ONE DAY.

  • Xenoblade Chronicles X (the last major Wii U game not on the Switch – maybe it’ll be caught up later, but it has some complications).
  • New IP (you never know with this one, but maybe we’ll get a new, more important IP).
  • Rhythm Heaven (more hope – it makes sense to revive PIs).
  • Super Mario Galaxy 2 in the Switch store (still missing the 3D collection) or I don’t think Nintendo can sell it themselves.
  • Ports of LM1 and LM2 (given the success of LM3, maybe Nintendo will try to port the last two years is a bit more).
  • Animal Crossing DLC for a fee (I don’t know how they did it, but given the success and the fact that AC was home on 3ds and the amiibo festival on wii u, they could just do DLC instead of spinoff).
  • New Super Mario Bros (seems to only apply to the new 2D Mario – the Wii U port is selling so well).
  • Another Camelot game (it took 3 years between Tennis and Golf, but on the other hand they are currently only doing Tennis and Golf and in 2024 should be the next generation. Maybe they have a new sports name for the first year of the next generation, or maybe they have a late release in life change something – a Golden Sun revival?).
  • Mario Baseball (it’s been a while since we had one, and I think it’s Bandai Namco – it really depends on if NLG does Strikers, because that would add to the sports title for 2023, and even then it would be a stretch – maybe Camelot does it, who knows – I’m more hoping we get all the sports games with the Switch title)
  • Nintendogs (not much to say about this, except that I could imagine it, maybe).
  • Fatal Frame (the series is a weird place, but who knows, maybe a remake or something).
  • Another Nintendo Warriors game (we can throw in another game before the Switch is ready, another Zelda or FE, or maybe something new).
  • Persona Ports (is it possible ???)
  • The return of rare games on the Switch, another hope (Nintendo and Microsoft seem to be going long, replaying rare games would be great, or if the Switch gets N64 games online, maybe they made a deal or something – then that’s a great hope).
  • New Sakurai game (only if it’s really the end of the DLC and hasn’t already been moved to a new Smash for the next generation). The period makes sense to start a new Smash, almost every other major franchise has a director who develops the games in that franchise one by one. But then again, if he doesn’t do Smash anymore, we might see a new game from him at the end of the life cycle, which keeps it to a minimum). *Sakurai said it would be difficult to port Icarus the Kid, so he’s not here.
  • Mario Rabbids 2 (nothing to say here)
  • Ring Fit Adventure 2 (I think it’s selling well enough to warrant a sequel).
  • Astral Chain 2 (Platinum collaboration, but Nintendo IP and I think it sold enough to warrant a sequel as well).
  • Hands 2 (sells well enough and Nintendo is interested enough in the character to bring him into Smash).
  • Captain Toad 2

*These two games might sell out compared to their predecessor, so Nintendo might wait for the next generation of consoles.

Note on disregard

  • Donkey Kong was from Retro Studios, and they were working on Metroid/whatever game they were playing before that seems to have disappeared. I’d love to see the Odyssey team make a 3D DK game, but they just made Mario that way :/
  • F-Zero just seems dead, and if it was time for a new title, it would be during the MK drought.
  • Star Fox – seems a bit odd. Zero hasn’t worked out so well, so I don’t see them wearing it. They should just give a game to Ubisoft or something, but yeah…..

Source: Original link

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frequently asked questions

How long does the switch last?

During a recent Q&A with investors, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa said that the Switch is currently in the middle of its life cycle. This means that the total life of the switch could be 6 to 7 years, or even longer if the software sales are long.

Is the Nintendo Switch turned off?

The original Nintendo Switch, released in 2017, was effectively discontinued in August 2019. However, in the same month, it was replaced by a new model of the 2019 Nintendo Switch that has better power efficiency, meaning the battery lasts an hour longer on average. … No, the switch doesn’t go off.

Will there be a new Nintendo Switch in 2020?

According to Bloomberg, the new switch will use advanced scaling techniques to achieve 4K. … A set of code found in a Switch firmware update released in April 2020 shows what could support a two-screen console, suggesting that Nintendo’s next Switch could be a two-screen device.

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