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2018 Election Day open thread

2018 Election Day open thread

9:00 AM I’m residence with a sick child, so factor might not go as deliberate, however I’m hoping to vote quickly, after which head again residence to do some distant telephone banking by means of Swing Left for Amy McGrath, the Democratic candidate for Kentucky’s sixth district, which covers Frankfort, the place I lived as a child, Georgetown, the place my nice grandparents have been tobacco farmers, and Lexington, the place I used to be born, and most of my household nonetheless lives. As of proper now, it’s an extremely tight race, and, if I can persuade only one individual to go to the polls, I’ll really feel as if I a minimum of helped in some small means. [I’d thought of taking a few days off and knocking doors in Kentucky, but chose to stay here and work in Michigan instead. The decision has been weighing on me, though.] Right here, in line with the FiveThrityEight forecast, is how issues look proper not for that race.

9:30 AM When you have any Election Day observations to share, good or dangerous, please depart a touch upon this thread. I’ll be checking all through the day… I’m inspired to see that there’s not likely a lot probability of rain within the forecast right here in Southeast Michigan, however excessive winds might pose an issue for some voters, particularly if we expertise energy failures.

9:45 AM In Georgia, the place I’ve additionally lived a great a part of my life, it’s wanting like, regardless of the aggressive voter suppression efforts towards black voters, the unfounded last-minute accusations of hacking, and racist robocalls, Secretary of State Brian Kemp should nonetheless assume that he’s going to lose the gubernatorial race to Democratic candidate Stacey Abrams. Why else would he be resorting to posting bullshit nonsense like this to social media?

10:00 Talking of offensive racists, right here’s what Donald Trump needed to say this morning when requested about the truth that networks have been refusing to air his appallingly xenophobic and factually incorrect advert about how Democrats need to let homicidal killers into America to kill cops. It ought to be famous, talking of Trump’s grotesque racism, that he declared Brian Kemp’s black opponent, Stacey Abrams, to be “not qualified” for the workplace of Governor. Abrams, along with being a dynamic black lady, is a graduate of Yale Regulation Faculty with 17 years of political expertise, serving the final ten years within the Georgia Common Meeting, the place she served as Home Minority Chief.

Trump on racist advert: “I don’t know about it […] a lot of things are offensive. Your questions are offensive”

— Timothy Burke (@bubbaprog) November 5, 2018

10:10 Talking of Trump’s angle towards the press, and his makes an attempt to forged journalists as those who’re answerable for the political violence that we’re seeing within the nation immediately, I don’t assume I’ve talked about it right here but, however, a couple of days in the past, he stated the next on the White Home garden. “You’re creating violence by your question,” he stated to a reporter. “The fake news is creating violence.” [As if you needed one more reason to vote today, right?]

10:15 Keep in mind, that is about well being care, not caravans.

10:25 For what it’s value, I’m not simply taken with listening to about your voting experiences in Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti. I’m curious to know what you’re observing, regardless of the place you may be. With that stated, although, I’m notably fascinated with few races across the state of Michigan the place the Democrats may have the ability to win seats again from Republicans, just like the the Michigan seventh (the place Republican incumbent Tim Walberg is dealing with Democrat Gretchen Driskell), the Michigan eighth (the place incumbent Mike Bishop is dealing with Democratic challenger Elissa Slotkin), and the Michigan 11th (the place Democrat Haley Stevens is operating agains Republican Lena Epstein for the seat being vacated by the reprehensible Dave Trott). Any perception you may have the ability to supply as to what’s occurring on the bottom in these areas can be drastically appreciated.

10:40 I simply obtained a name from my daughter, asking to be picked up from faculty right here in Ypsi. Apparently the facility is out, I think due the excessive winds. Hopefully the polling locations aren’t impacted.

11:40 My polling place was hopping. I used to be voted quantity 363 at 11:20. There was an honest little line, nevertheless it didn’t take greater than about 15 minutes, from the time that I walked in with the youngsters, to the time once I obtained to start out engaged on my poll. Additionally, should you, like me, occur to be voting at Ypsilanti Worldwide Elementary Faculty, make sure you take a couple of additional dollars for the PTO bake sale. There’s nonetheless numerous great things available… Oh, and the man behind me in line to vote was one of many guys the Landline staff bowled agains final night time. We every gained one recreation, after which tied the third. It was an unimaginable athletic competitors. [Their team as the best beards in the league.]

11:50 Once more, should you fell for this contemptible and racist Republican ploy to affect the election of their favor, you’re a moron. This was $220 million that would have been spent out caring for our veterans, educating our youngsters, and defending these of us with pre-existing circumstances. It’s completely shameful that this occurred in America, and one hope the Democrats retake the Home in order that we will maintain investigations.

Trump border deployments might value $220 million, Pentagon sees no caravan menace.

— Jake Bernstein (@Jake_Bernstein) November 6, 2018

1:00 I simply heard from Jeff Irwin, who’s quickly to be our subsequent State Senator, that his polling place within the Township was packed. “Turnout was high at the Polo Fields on Packard in Ypsilanti Township,” he studies. “Despite the rain, we had a long line for much of the time before 9:00, a good sign.” Talking of which, the volunteers on my polling place stated that it was simply as busy this morning because it was for the final presidential election, which is a superb signal.

2:00 Utterly unrelated, on the best way up the road to vote, I observed that the play construction is being put in at Riverside Park.

2:10 Again to the crime happening proper now in George, verify this out.

Right here in GA, the place kemp wouldn’t step down, not a single machine in our precinct works. Nobody has voted since 7am. A whole lot of ppl have left

— Terri Durham (@Teedurful) November 6, 2018

Terri Durham adopted up at 11:30 to say that the strains, 4 hours after the polls opened, have lastly began shifting. “I just hope the people who left come back,” she stated.

One hopes that sufficient Democrats win that there could be a by means of investigation into what occurred in Georgia. It’s completely disgraceful.

2:20 Linette simply acquired house from a gathering with International Detroit, and she or he tells me that one of many individuals she was assembly with was voter quantity 900 this morning. I don’t know which Detroit precinct it was, however that needs to be a great signal, proper?

2:25 Greatest early headline of the day comes from Politico — “Retiring Rep. Issa calls it early: There will be a Dem representing my district”

2:30 Bloomberg is reporting that Twitter eliminated a pretend flag-burning video that was shared 55,00zero occasions. The video claimed that Democrats have been burning flags. A number of days in the past, it was reported that Twitter had taken down hundreds of accounts urging individuals (I’m assuming younger individuals and other people of colour) to not vote.

2:45 OK, individuals are lastly beginning to reply their telephones. After depart numerous voicemails, I’ve lastly his a streak the place I’m speaking to actual Kentuckians about Amy McGrath. The excellent news is, everybody I’ve talked with so far has already voted for her. Now I simply have to get higher about convincing them to name their buddies. [So far, I’ve not seen the numbers of any my relatives in Lexington pop up.]

three:30 Extra from the banana republic of Georgia.

NBC Information has confirmed that the difficulty at Anderson Livsey Elementary in Snellville, GA was certainly a scarcity of energy cords. Gwinnett County Director of Communications Joe Sorenson tells @NBCNews “the machine was not supplied power and was running on battery & the battery ran out” ?

— Ayman Mohyeldin (@AymanM) November 6, 2018

By the best way, I simply checked the census knowledge, and it seems like Snellville is about 36% black. I’m wondering if that is additionally occurring within the areas of Georgia which might be extra white, and extra Republican?

three:35 A brand new article has been posted to Time. The headline reads, “Michigan Voted for Trump. Now It’s Poised to Elect Democratic Women.” Right here’s an excerpt.

…Now, in a yr when an unprecedented variety of ladies are operating for workplace everywhere in the nation, the state that helped make Trump president can also be the state with probably the most notable surge in enthusiasm for feminine candidates. Democratic ladies are operating robust races up and down the ticket. Senator Debbie Stabenow and gubernatorial candidate Gretchen Whitmer each have strong leads over their male Republican opponents, in line with a brand new ballot launched Monday, principally thanks to an enormous edge amongst ladies voters: Stabenow is up 23 factors with ladies, whereas Whitmer is up 28. Democratic Lawyer Basic candidate Dana Nessel and Secretary of State candidate Jocelyn Benson even have leads heading into Election Night time.

Stevens is favored to win the open seat vacated by GOP Rep. Dave Trott. (She’s operating towards Lena Epstein, former Michigan chair for the Trump marketing campaign, so Michigan’s 11th might be represented by a lady regardless of the result on Tuesday.) If she does, she’ll be joined within the Michigan Home delegation by different Democratic ladies. Rashida Tlaib is operating unopposed in Michigan’s 13th district, making her all however sure to turn out to be one of many first Muslim-American ladies in Congress. Former CIA official Elissa Slotkin is mounting a troublesome problem to Rep. Mike Bishop in Michigan’s eighth district. Former state consultant Gretchen Driskell has outraised GOP Rep. Tim Wahlberg in Michigan’s seventh district. Former instructor Cathy Albro is difficult Rep. Justin Amash in a closely Republican district. And the 2 Michigan incumbents, Debbie Dingell and Brenda Lawrence, don’t appear to be going anyplace…

three:48 Amongst all the different issues I’d like for the Democrats to research, ought to they take again a chamber or two of Congress, I’d like a listening to on whether or not or not Trump violated federal regulation yesterday when he warned individuals to avoid the polls. His supporters, I’m positive, will say that he simply did this to discourage voter fraud. You can’t inform me, nevertheless, that messages like this don’t put a chilling impact on participation from marginalized teams, who could be fearful, for example, of being arrested if their addresses don’t match completely, and so forth.

four:00 Common wait time on the polls in Atlanta, in accordance with reviews, is at present three hours.

Common wait time to vote in Atlanta metro space proper now’s about three hours, in line with Sarah Henderson of Widespread Trigger Georgia.

— Pema Levy (@pemalevy) November 6, 2018

four:00 Fuck. I might watch movies like this all rattling day… What’s extra lovely than this?

Prairie View A&M College college students walked out of sophistication and marched to the polling station, chanting, “Go vote!”

College students there just lately gained a lawsuit permitting them to vote early and to vote on the scholar middle on campus.

— ABC Information (@ABC) November 6, 2018

6:20 OK, let’s begin the predictions. Right here’s the primary one, from Ann Arbor County Commissioner Andy LaBarre. “My guess is we’ll win about 30 US Home seats and the 4 statewides. Hope I’m improper, and we do extra.“ And, with that, I’m headed to Pita Pita for dinner.

7:30 If I ought to disappear for some time to go get a beer with Dr. Pete Larson, simply watch the Pod Save America livestream till I get again. And examine the feedback part, the place iRobert is maintaining knowledgeable on returns.

9:00 Consuming beer with Dr. Peter Larson at Sidetrack, and watching the outcomes as they arrive in.

10:20 The Michigan gubernatorial race has been referred to as for Gretchen Whitmer, successfully ending the political profession of Invoice Schuette. Or at the very least that’s my hope.

11:00 It’s nonetheless not accomplished but, however NBC, FOX and NPR are projecting that the the Democrats will retake the Home. As dangerous because it hurts that nice candidates like Abrams, Gillum, and O’Rourke misplaced, I’m taking loads of consolation in the concept, in a couple of brief months, Adam Schiff will probably be operating the Home Intelligence Committee as an alternative of Devin Nunes. That is big… I can’t await the hearings to start. [Jerrold Nadler, The Democrat slated to chair the Home Judiciary Committee, tells CNN: “This election was about accountability. Donald Trump may not like hearing it but for the first time, his administration is going to be held accountable.”]

BREAKING: Democrats will take management of the US Home, gaining new energy to problem President Trump, CNN tasks #CNNElection

— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) November 7, 2018

11:15 Talking of investigations, it’s already being reported that the Democrats intend to request Trump’s tax returns.

Last ideas for the night time… Whereas disenchanted that we didn’t get all the things that we needed tonight, we obtained again the Home, and that’s big. One social gathering rule is over. Moreover, midwestern states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, swung again in an enormous approach, after giving Trump the presidency. [It felt really good to see Scott Walker lose his reelection bid in Wisconsin, and for Kris Kobach to get his ass kicked in Kansas.] And, in fact, it was terrific to see so many gifted Democratic ladies profitable their Home races. Was it good? No. As I stated above, I might have beloved to have seen Cruz and Kemp swept out of workplace, and it will have been unimaginable if we’d taken the Senate, however, all in all, it was big night time for America. Lastly, after two lengthy years, we’ll see the Trump agenda slowed, and the members of the Trump crime household held accountable for his or her quite a few misdeeds.

And, right here in Michigan, we did alright. Whereas Democrats did not flip both the State Home or Senate, we did make headway, profitable again the Governor’s workplace, holding onto Stabenow’s Senate seat, profitable again the Secretary of State’s workplace after 30 years, and flipping a number of Home seats… Whereas Democrat Gretchen Driskell did not defeat Republican incumbent Tim Walberg in Michigan’s seventh, we flipped Michigan’s eighth, the place Republican incumbent Mike Bishop misplaced to Democratic challenger Elissa Slotkin, and Michigan’s 11th, the place Democrat Haley Stevens beat Republican Lena Epstein for the seat vacated by Dave Trott.

eight:00 This morning, Donald Trump provides us a bit of perception as to what’s to return. After taking credit score for the good Republican “success” of final night time, he stated the next… Buckle up, people. Should you thought issues have been loopy earlier than, simply wait.

If the Democrats assume they will waste Taxpayer Cash investigating us on the Home degree, then we’ll likewise be pressured to think about investigating them for all the leaks of Categorised Info, and far else, on the Senate degree. Two can play that recreation!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 7, 2018

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